Sunday, February 12, 2023

Super Bowl Trends Over the Years - Updated for February 2023

        






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Originally, this was a post from a number of years ago, but it seemed appropriate for this occasion, especially on this of all days, to update and then republish it. 

Yes indeed, this is the weekend of the biggest single annual sporting event, at least in North America. and today is the day! Yes, it is Super Bowl Sunday, the biggest single sports day in America. And so it seemed like a good idea to update and then repost this particular blog entry.

While the World Cup is bigger, and probably the Euro tournaments as well, possibly, as some of the South American tournaments, the Super Bowl stands out as one of the most viewed sporting events in the world, especially in North America. And, unlike most of those other tournaments, the Super Bowl is an annual tradition, and it takes place every winter. A new champion is crowned each year, and in the last couple of decades, we started getting some wild and unpredictable Super Bowl games. There was a time when this was not so, and so we should be appreciative of the highly entertaining games that we have been blessed with in recent years. It used to be that Super Bowl blowouts were the norm, and interesting games were the exception. Now, most of these games are close and enticing, and the blowouts seem to be the exception.

Still, the history of the Super Bowl is fascinating. There was the first one, which followed the script, with the mighty Packers crushing the upstart Chiefs. Then, two short years later, the then Baltimore Colts were trying to solidify their status as most dominant team in NFL history, but that ended forever when they were shocked by the New York Jets, behind Joe Namath's famous guarantee. That was the game that changed it all, and this big game immortalized the Super Bowl as an event where the unexpected could indeed happen, and that it was a must see.

The traditions have changed, even greatly, over the course of the years. The halftime shows used to be really lame and hokey, to the point that The Simpsons made fun of it. That much has changed greatly, as halftime at the Super Bowl is now itself a huge event, where some huge act gets to entertain not just the stadium, but the entire nation and, indeed, much of the world. In years past, we have had Paul McCartney, The Rolling Stones, The Who, U2, Prince, Michael Jackson, the Red Hot Chili Peppers, Madonna, Katy Perry with Lenny Kravitz, Beyonce, and numerous others. On top of it, other huge acts have sung the National Anthem, although the most famous version will likely be Whitney Houston's 1991 version. This year, Rihanna will perform the halftime show. 

Another aspect that has changed was the postgame. It used to be, until the Cowboys won Super Bowl XXX over the Steelers, that the winners would get off the field and have their celebration in the locker room, privately. Oh, television viewers would see glimpses, but for the most part, the spectator sport championship would end with the champions celebrating in the privacy of their locker rooms. Dallas became the first team to celebrate before the crowd at the stadium, and this tradition has continued ever since. Even this has been modified, as nowadays, the presentation of the trophy itself has become a huge event itself, accompanied with a specific musical piece. Some past Super Bowl stars come out to present the new champions with the trophy, and then everyone is interviewed before the crowd.

Not surprisingly, the Super Bowl has gotten longer, too. All NFL games have, but this is especially true of the Super Bowl.

Nowadays, though, everything about the Super Bowl seems to be bigger, and to take much longer. There is a big production about the pregames (they almost seem to run all day now), as well as the coin flip, the national anthem, the player introductions, and the kick off. Also, the halftime show is obviously so much bigger these days, as well.

Here is an interesting trend to keep in mind about Super Bowls: the team wearing the white (away) jerseys tends to be much, much better. In the prior 49 Super Bowls, the team wearing white holds a decisive 36-20 lead in terms of games won. Let's see if that all plays a factor in today's game.

Then we can look at the AFC versus the NFC record. As we enter this game, the NFC holds the advantage, with 29 wins, to 27 for the AFC. 

Another thing to look at: which team score first. Whoever scores first has a decided advantage historically, as well, with teams going onto win the Super Bowl after scoring first 37 times, while losing 19 times. That's almost two to one in favor of the team scoring first. The Los Angeles Rams scored first last year, and ultimately won the game, joining the ranks of the 37 Super Bowl winners that scored first and went on to win. The teams scoring first who lost have, by way of comparison, only won 19 Super Bowls. That's almost two to one in favor of the team scoring first. The last time that a team scoring first in the big game lost would be just two years ago, when the favored Chiefs notched a field goal, but then would get slammed for the rest of the game against the Tampa Bay Bucs.

Commercials have obviously become a huge part of the spectacle that nowadays is the Super Bowl, with a 30 second clip now running several millions of dollars. The commercials themselves now seem to generate discussion both inside and outside of the sports world, and some people find the commercials more entertaining than the game itself!

One generally underrated aspect of the Super Bowl would be how things look aesthetically. It seems that the NFL now prefers domed games and night games. But when I was growing up, it was wonderful to see the brilliantly green fields of sunny California or Florida. It really felt like a reward for the teams participating, especially when they were from cold weather areas. As a Giants fan, I remember being quite taken by their playing in the bright southern California sunshine as a sign that they had finally made it! It is hard to get quite the same feeling when it is a night game, or a game played inside of a dome. Aesthetically, it looks almost like any other game, really. When it is played in the California sunshine, as it will be today (and the weather is predicted to be sunny and pleasant for this game), it will be a break from the cold and overcast winter days that much of the country has experienced, which helps to make this game a pleasant excursion from every day worries. Without going too far with this, it is almost like a vacation for a couple of hours.

This game will be at what is now called the State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, but that stadium does not generally permit much of that naturally bright desert sunshine. Too bad.

Still, I'm looking forward to it! Enjoy the big game, everybody!

In addition, I thought it might be fun to review my own past predictions and see how accurate I was. Yes, I have made predictions for the big game every year since January of 2011, when the Green Bay Packers wound up defeating the Pittsburgh for the fourth Super Bowl championship in franchise history. So let's see how I did with each of those predictions since then:

Here goes:




Super Bowl XLV: Packers over Steelers
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2011/01/super-bowl-xlv.html

Super Bowl XLVI: Giants over Patriots
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2012/01/super-bowl-xlvi-preview-new-york-giants.html


Super Bowl XLVII: Ravens over 49ers
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2013/01/super-bowl-xlvii-preview-baltimore.html

Super Bowl XLVIII: Seahawks over Broncos
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2014/01/super-bowl-xlviii-preview.html

Super Bowl XLIX: Patriots over Seahawks
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2015/01/super-bowl-xlix-preview.html

Super Bowl L: Broncos over Panthers
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2016/02/super-bowl-50-preview.html

Super Bowl LI: Patriots over Falcons
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2017/01/super-bowl-li-preview.html

Super Bowl LII: Eagles over Patriots
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2018/02/super-bowl-lii-preview-predictions.html


Super Bowl LIII: Patriots over Rams
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2019/02/super-bowl-liii-preview-new-england.html

Super Bowl LIV: Chiefs over 49ers
My pick: Accurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2020/01/super-bowl-liv-preview.html


Super Bowl LV: Buccaneers over Chiefs
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2021/02/super-bowl-lv-preview.html


Super Bowl LVI:Rams over Bengals 
My pick: Inaccurate
https://charbor74.blogspot.com/2022/02/super-bowl-lvi-preview.html

So if you are keeping count, that means that out of the 12 Super Bowls dating back to Super Bowl XLVI that I have made predictions for here on this blogger, I have been accurate when picking the winner six times, and inaccurate six times. Half the time right, half the time wrong. Like a .500 team, in other words. Have to admit, I would have thought my accuracy would have been better. In fact, I was a bit stunned and admittedly disappointed to see how often I got the picks wrong for the big game. 

This Super Bowl will break that tie. I will either have a winning record again, or a losing record. The pressure is on, and it's time to make my pick. 

Now finally, here is my prediction for this year's Super Bowl:


Super Bowl LVII:
My pick: Kansas City Chiefs 

Accuracy? To be determined later on Super Bowl on Sunday

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